Mingze Huang
2021-08-05
Assume that private saving is proportional to income: \(S=s\cdot Y\)
Combine \(I=S\) and \(S=s\cdot Y\), in year \(t\) we have: \(I_{t}=s\cdot Y_{t}\).
Investment is proportional to output: higher output implies higher saving, then higher investment.
The evolution of capital stock is given by: \(K_{t+1}=(1-\delta)K_{t}+I_{t}\).
Substitute \(I_{t}\) by \(I_{t}=s\cdot Y_{t}\) and divide both sides by \(N\): \(\frac{K_{t+1}}{N}=(1-\delta)\frac{K_{t}}{N}+s\frac{Y_{t}}{N}\).
Rearrange it: \(\frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\frac{Y_{t}}{N}-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N}\).
Plug \(\frac{Y_{t}}{N}=f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})\) in: \[ \frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\cdot f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N} \]
The left hand side \(\frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}\) is change in capital from year \(t\) to year \(t+1\).
The first term of right hand side \(s\cdot f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})\) is investment during year \(t\).
The second term of right hand side \(\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N}\) is depreciation during year \(t\).
So the change in capital from year \(t\) to year \(t+1\) equals to investment during year \(t\) minus depreciation during year \(t\).
The equation tells us:
If investment per worker exceeds depreciation per worker, the change in capital per worker is positive: capital per worker increases.
If investment per worker is less than depreciation per worker, the change in capital per worker is negative: capital per worker decreases.
The state in which output per worker and capital per worker are no longer changing is called steady state of the economy.
Recall the evolution of capital per worker: \[ \frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\cdot f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N} \]
If we denote the steady-state capital per worker as \(\frac{K^*}{N}\), then: \[ s\cdot f(\frac{K^*}{N})=\delta\frac{K^*}{N} \]
Given steady-state capital per worker, \(\frac{K^*}{N}\), we can denote steady-state output per worker as \(\frac{Y*}{N}\), so that: \[ \frac{Y^*}{N}=f(\frac{K^*}{N}) \]
How does saving rate affect growth rate of output per worker?
Saving rate has no effect on long run growth rate of output per worker, which is equal to zero.
Saving rate determines the level of output per worker in long run.
Since increase in saving rate can increase long run steady-state output per worker, why not save all?
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