Lecture 19: Long Run Economic Growth (continued)

Mingze Huang

2021-08-05

Investment and Capital Accumulation

Assume that private saving is proportional to income: \(S=s\cdot Y\)

Combine \(I=S\) and \(S=s\cdot Y\), in year \(t\) we have: \(I_{t}=s\cdot Y_{t}\).

Investment is proportional to output: higher output implies higher saving, then higher investment.

The evolution of capital stock is given by: \(K_{t+1}=(1-\delta)K_{t}+I_{t}\).

Substitute \(I_{t}\) by \(I_{t}=s\cdot Y_{t}\) and divide both sides by \(N\): \(\frac{K_{t+1}}{N}=(1-\delta)\frac{K_{t}}{N}+s\frac{Y_{t}}{N}\).

Rearrange it: \(\frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\frac{Y_{t}}{N}-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N}\).

Plug \(\frac{Y_{t}}{N}=f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})\) in: \[ \frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\cdot f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N} \]

Investment and Capital Accumulation

So the change in capital from year \(t\) to year \(t+1\) equals to investment during year \(t\) minus depreciation during year \(t\).

The equation tells us:

Investment and Capital Accumulation

Steady-state Capital and Output

The state in which output per worker and capital per worker are no longer changing is called steady state of the economy.

Recall the evolution of capital per worker: \[ \frac{K_{t+1}}{N}-\frac{K_{t}}{N}=s\cdot f(\frac{K_{t}}{N})-\delta\frac{K_{t}}{N} \]

If we denote the steady-state capital per worker as \(\frac{K^*}{N}\), then: \[ s\cdot f(\frac{K^*}{N})=\delta\frac{K^*}{N} \]

Given steady-state capital per worker, \(\frac{K^*}{N}\), we can denote steady-state output per worker as \(\frac{Y*}{N}\), so that: \[ \frac{Y^*}{N}=f(\frac{K^*}{N}) \]

The Saving Rate and Output

How does saving rate affect growth rate of output per worker?

The Saving Rate and Output

Since increase in saving rate can increase long run steady-state output per worker, why not save all?

Economic Growth in Real World

Foreign Aid vs. Saving ?

Saving matters!

More reasons…

Money alone can’t fix Central America – or stop migration to US

More Information Contact Amazing Student (Alumni) of Dept. of Economics